The Data Room
What auctions really close for, when new ones drop, and which ones nobody bid on — every points-and-miles program we track, charted for the data nerds.
The state of the market
Where things stand
Every points-and-miles auction we've ever tracked, turned into charts. Everything on this page — headline counts included — is recomputed once a week.
Every listing we've ever seen lands in exactly one of these five buckets — together they add up to 6,991.
The closed-and-archived count includes only trusted closes — auctions with a verified winning bid, or ones we watched receive real bids. Coverage: Mar 16 – Aug 8, 2026.
The signature chart
When do programs drop new auctions?
Every program has a favorite day: Marriott on Mondays, Wyndham on Thursdays, and Delta on Tuesdays. First up is weekly release volume; below it, each program's day-of-week fingerprint.
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New listings per week, dated by when we first spotted them. Each program's first 3 tracked days are excluded — that spike is our onboarding backlog, not a real drop. Click a program chip to show or hide it. The final week is still in progress.
The weekly fingerprint
The darker the cell, the bigger the share of that program's listings that land on that day.
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Cell shade shows the share of a program's drops that land on that weekday (post-onboarding only); the outlined cell is its busiest day. Programs with under 28 days of clean history aren't fingerprinted yet.
When to show up
The market clock
Drops are only half the rhythm — this is when auctions actually end, in US-Eastern time. If you want to be there for the close, this is your calendar.
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Based on all 2,792 closed auctions with a close timestamp, shown in US-Eastern wall time. International programs (Accor, Qatar…) close on their own local clocks — they're the overnight-ET band. Unlike the drop charts, nothing needs to be excluded here: close times come straight from the platforms.
The life of an auction
From first listing to event day: how long bidding stays open, and how much runway is left when it ends.
| Category | Bidding window | Close → event |
|---|---|---|
| Entertainmentn=1,104 | 16.3 days | 14 days |
| Sportsn=867 | 5.1 days | 27 days |
| Culinaryn=216 | 20 days | 31 days |
| Traveln=102 | 16.3 days | 47 days |
| Arts & Culturen=71 | 22.6 days | 24 days |
The bidding window is measured across 2,364 closed auctions with a start date; the close-to-event lead across 2,822 with an event date. Categories with fewer than 25 closes are omitted. All figures are medians, so a handful of marathon festival packages can't skew them.
Closing prices
What do auctions actually close for?
Closing prices, sliced by program and by category — view them as a chart or a sortable table, built on the same trusted closes either way. Reading the boxes: the box spans the typical range (25th–75th percentile), the line marks the median, the dashed whisker reaches the 90th percentile, and the dot is the priciest close.
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Trusted closes only, from programs with at least 5 closes. Small samples are tagged rather than hidden — an Alaska median built on 10 closes is real, just noisy. In table view, click any header to re-sort.
The high rollers
The 10 most expensive auctions ever
Ranked by best-known closing price. Platforms love splitting one event into several near-identical packages — flip the toggle to fold those into a single row.
- 1Canadian Grand Prix: Join the McLaren Mastercard F1® TeamHilton Honors ExperiencesSportsVerified2026-04-144.4M
- 2Monaco Grand Prix: McLaren Mastercard F1® Team VIP Weekend ExperienceHilton Honors ExperiencesSportsVerified2026-04-283.5M
- 3FIFA World Cup 2026™ Tickets, thanks to Visa — 2 Tickets (Pkg 3)Marriott Bonvoy MomentsSportsVerified2026-05-103.0M
- 4FIFA World Cup 2026™ Tickets, thanks to Visa — 2 Tickets (Pkg 4)Marriott Bonvoy MomentsSportsVerified2026-05-103M
- 5British Grand Prix: McLaren Mastercard F1® Team VIP Weekend ExperienceHilton Honors ExperiencesSportsVerified2026-06-022.7M
- 6FIFA World Cup 2026™ Tickets, thanks to Visa — 2 Tickets (Pkg 1)Marriott Bonvoy MomentsSportsVerified2026-05-102.6M
- 7Canadian Grand Prix: McLaren Mastercard F1® Team VIP Sprint and Qualifying ExperienceHilton Honors ExperiencesSportsVerified2026-04-252.4M
- 8FIFA World Cup 2026™ Tickets, thanks to Visa — 2 Tickets (Pkg 2)Marriott Bonvoy MomentsSportsVerified2026-05-102.4M
- 9Mercedes-AMG PETRONAS F1 Team — 2 Tickets (Pkg 1)Marriott Bonvoy MomentsSportsVerified2026-04-172.2M
- 10FIFA World Cup 26™ Match 104 - FinalQatar Airways Privilege ClubSportsVerified2026-07-092.1M
Points aren't equivalent across programs — see the note in the prices section. Grouping only folds packages that are byte-identical (same description, same event date); similar-looking titles stay separate.
Round two
When the same package comes back
Most of what closes here isn't one-of-a-kind — platforms rerun identical packages again and again. So what happens to the price on the rerun?
Median change on a rerun: 0% across 1,299 back-to-back runs. Skipping a package because you lost round one costs surprisingly little.
"Same package" means an identical description and event date (the content fingerprint) — never merely a similar title, so different seats and sessions stay separate. 1,762 of 2,553 trusted closes (69%) are repeat runs. Months with fewer than 20 rerun pairs aren't charted.
The wallflowers
Auctions that closed with zero bids
Not everything gets love. 91 auctions closed without a single bid — and in every one of them, the opening bid would have won.
Counts only closes where the platform confirmed no bids were placed, and the rate bars cover programs with at least 10 priced closes. For a zero-bid close, the last listed price is simply the untouched opening bid. Teasers pulled before they ever opened are excluded.
The live shelf
What's on offer right now?
Three views of what's live right now: the categories each program leans into, the buy-now side of the market (which is most of the shelf — and the only place some programs show up), and where in the world the experiences actually happen.
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1 live buy-nows cost 100 points or less — sweepstakes-style entries rather than real fixed prices (United MileagePlus Exclusiveslists the most). They're excluded from the asking-price medians.
Medians are asking prices in each program's own points; the bars compare inventory counts, never prices across programs. And we track listings and delistings — not whether a buy-now actually sold.
Counts live listings with a mapped city. Click a city to browse its listings, or explore the full map.
Live inventory only, refreshed with the weekly snapshot.
Competition
How contested is the average auction?
Most auctions do get bids — just not many. The single most common outcome is one bid. The chart uses a square-root scale so the long tail doesn't disappear.
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Median 8 bids per closed auction; 6.5% drew none; 315 auctions drew more than 40 bids and are grouped in the last bar. Trusted closes only.
The last-minute jump
The last price you see before an auction closes usually undersells the final result. Here's how far the verified winning bid landed above the last price we recorded.
Based on 2,130 closes where we have both a pre-close price and a verified final: 57% ended higher than last seen (median +5.6%, top decile +66.7%), and none ended lower. This chart requires verified finals by definition — it measures how far the last-seen price falls short — so last-seen-only programs like Delta can't appear in it.
By the numbers
Odds & ends for the data nerds
How this is made
Method
What counts as a "close." We only make price claims about trusted closes: an auction with a verified winning bid, or one we watched receive real bids before it ended. Teasers pulled before opening, and closes we couldn't confirm, are excluded from every average, median, and ranking. Verified and last-seen prices are always labeled and never blended. They're never dropped, either: a program whose platform hides finals (like Delta) stays on every chart, with its last-seen prices labeled as such.
Why no dollar values. A point's cash value depends on the program, your status, and transfer windows — there's no honest single exchange rate. So everything stays in native points or miles.
Tracking, not posting. We record when we first see a listing, which means a newly added program's entire backlog shows up on its first scrape. Drop-rhythm charts exclude each program's first 3 tracked days so onboarding never masquerades as a market event; price charts keep everything (a backlogged listing's close is still a real close).
Freshness. The figures on this page are recomputed once a week (overnight US Eastern) and cached, so the page stays fast no matter the traffic. Last updated August 10, 2026.
The funnel. The strip at the top buckets every listing we've ever seen exactly once — live, trusted close, zero-bid close, unverified close, or buy-now/raffle delisting — so the headline numbers always add up.
Want the underlying closes? Browse the full auction archive or the price statistics for every program.
Verified coverage by program
For each program: how much of its archive is backed by a post-close verified winning bid, and how much by a labeled last-seen price.
Green is verified finals; amber is last-seen. Delta sits at 0% because its platform removes auctions the moment they close — its last-seen prices are real recorded bids, and they stay on every chart, labeled.